Workshop - 2012

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"Non-stationary extreme value modelling in climatology"


supported by the European Social Fund and the Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports
of the Czech Republic under project CZ.1.07/2.3.00/20.0086


Technical University of Liberec, February 15-17, 2012
Voroněžská 1329/13, Liberec, Czech Republic
Building H, Floor 4, Room H5027 ("Didakticky kabinet KMD")


Wednesday, February 15

afternoon/evening – arrival of participants

Thursday, February 16

8:30  - 9:00  Registration
9:00  - 9:20  J. Picek, J. Kyselý: Introduction to the workshop and the KLIMATEXT
                    project

Session 1: Extremes in climate models, spatial dependence
9:20  -  9:50 M. Hanel (TUL/WRI): Assessment of projected changes in seasonal
                    precipitation extremes in the Czech Republic
9:50  -10:20 M. Roth (KNMI/EURANDOM): A spatial peaks-over-threshold model in
                   a nonstationary climate

10:20-11:00 J. Beersma (KNMI): Advanced delta change method for time series
                   transformation
11:00-11:30 Discussion, Tea/Coffee break

Session 2: Nonstationary peaks-over-threshold (POT) method
11:30-11:50 J. Kyselý (TUL/IAP): Estimating extremes in climate model data by the POT
                   method with nonstationary threshold
11:50-12:10 J. Picek (TUL): Statistical aspects of the regression quantiles methodology
                   in the POT analysis
12:10-12:30 M. Schindler (TUL): How to choose threshold in a POT model?
12:30-13:00 Discussion
13:00-14:00 Lunch
14:00-18:00 Discussion, field trip (depending on weather)

Friday, February 17

Session 3: Covariate-dependent extremes
9:00  - 9:40 S. Beguería (CSIC): Covariate-dependent modelling of extreme events by
                   nonstationary POT analysis
9:40  -10:10 J.I. López-Moreno (CSIC): Effects of NAO on combined temperature and
                   precipitation winter modes and snow cover in Mediterranean mountains:
                   observed relationships and projections for the 21st century
10:10-10:30 R. Beranová (TUL/IAP): Links between the NAO index and temperatures in
                   Europe in climate models
10:30-11:00 Discussion, Tea/Coffee break

Session 4: Precipitation, covariates & extremes
11:00-11:40 M. Angulo-Martínez (CSIC): Trends in daily rainfall erosivity in relation with
                   NAO, MO and WeMO during 1955-2006 for the Ebro basin, NE Spain
11:40-12:00 E. Plavcová (TUL/IAP): Links between circulation indices/types and
                   precipitation in Central Europe in regional climate models
12:00-12:20 J. Pecho (TUL/IAP): POT and block-maxima analysis of precipitation
                   extremes at selected stations in Slovakia
12:20-12:30 Concluding remarks
12:30-14:00 Lunch, departure of participants

 abstracts

fotka 1  fotka2

fotka 3  Fotka4

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